All Stories

  1. On coupvolution. History and justification of a new concept
  2. Major revolution datasets agree on most things (except one)
  3. Social Evolution in the Big History Perspective
  4. Universal Evolution and Big History
  5. Towards the Ranking of the Importance of Revolutionary Destabilization Factors in Asian and African Countries Using Machine Learning Methods
  6. The Middle-Income Trap: Where Unarmed Revolutions Peak
  7. Alloparenting as a Factor of the Persistently High Fertility Rates in Central Africa
  8. Why Does High African Fertility Persist? Women’s Education vs. Women’s Employment
  9. Factors of Destabilization in Asia and Africa
  10. Natural Resources, Ethnopolitical Conflicts and Risk Factors for Sustainable Development in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
  11. All Crises are Unhappy in Their Own Way: The Role of Societal Instability in Shaping the Past
  12. Mortality in Russia: problems and ways forward
  13. Why Do Revolutions Tend to Become Less Violent?
  14. Revolutions of the 21st century and the fifth generation of researchers of revolutionary events
  15. Biological and Social Phases of Big History and Universal Evolution
  16. Complexity in Big History
  17. On coupvolution: A type of revolutionary episodes in the modern West African context
  18. Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization in the Regime Context. A Quantitative Analysis
  19. Islamic Monarchies, Youth Bulges, and Socio-political Destabilization
  20. Shaping a New World Order and BRICS+
  21. Comparing and Contrasting Big History Singularity Trends of the Big Bang and Terrestrial Evolution
  22. Conclusions: Exploring Big History Periodizations Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions with Ideas for Further Research
  23. Discussion: Cross-Cutting Topics and a Variety of Periodizations
  24. Navigating Complexity in Big History—Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions: An Introduction
  25. Possible Methodological Ideas for Periodizing Big History
  26. Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates: Tactical or Strategic Partnership?
  27. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. A Systematic Review
  28. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part III: A Systematic Review of Substantive Findings (Repression, Success, and Outcomes of Revolutions)
  29. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part II: A Systematic Review of Substantive Findings (Revolution Causes, Forms, and Waves)
  30. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part I: When, Why, and How Did It Emerge
  31. COMPLEXITY GROWTH IN THE BIG HISTORY. A PRELIMINARY QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
  32. Global Aging and the Medicine of the Future
  33. Introduction. Reconsidering the Limits to Growth
  34. Inflationary Pressure and Revolutionary Destabilization: Impact Assessment and Comparative Analysis
  35. “When Jobs Are Scarce”
  36. Discussion Among the Fifth-Generation Circle. A rejoinder to Mark Beissinger, Daniel Ritter, Valentine Moghadam, Egor Fain, and Alisa Shishkina
  37. USAID Democracy Promotion as a Possible Predictor of Revolutionary Destabilization
  38. Is the Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies Still Coming?
  39. Revolution and Democracy in the Twenty-First Century
  40. Will Global Aging Change the Rate of Technological Progress and Form a New Consumption Model?
  41. Global Evolutionary Perspectives on Gender Differences in Religiosity, Family, Politics and Pro-Social Values Based on the Data from the World Values Survey
  42. Capitalism’s Unclear Futures
  43. Elections, Type of Regime and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization
  44. Africa—The Continent of the Future. Demographic and Economic Challenges and Opportunities
  45. Introduction: Terrorism and Political Contention in North Africa and the Sahel Region
  46. Non-beverage alcohol consumption in Russia: new evidence from Jewish Autonomous Oblast
  47. Coupvolution as a Mechanism of Regime Change in the Sahel
  48. Revolutionary History of Niger: From Independence to 2023 Coup
  49. Revolutionary and Quasi-Revolutionary Events in Somalia (1960–2023)
  50. Traditional Clan-Tribal Structures and Modern Political System of Somalia
  51. Anti-aging as a Key Challenge for the Medicine of the Future
  52. Biotechnologies in Perspective: Major Breakthroughs, Development of Self-regulating Systems and Possible Social Confrontations
  53. Conclusion. Toward Cybernetic Society
  54. Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging
  55. Cybernetic Revolution and MANBRIC Technologies. When, How and Where Will the Forthcoming Breakthrough Start?
  56. Cybernetic Revolution and Self-managing Systems
  57. Demographic Transformations in the Historical Process
  58. Global Aging and Other Demographic Trends Within Cybernetic Production Principle
  59. Global Aging, Adaptation to It and Future Demographic Transformations
  60. Global Technological Transformations Since the Stone Age: Theory and History
  61. Introduction: Between Human and Post-human Revolutions, or What Future Awaits Us?
  62. Long-Term Dynamics of Technological Growth: Would it Lead Us to the Singularity?
  63. Medicine and the Cybernetic Revolution: On the Way to Control Over the Human Body
  64. Nanotechnologies, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence and Other MANBRIC Technologies in the Long-Term Development
  65. Quantitative Analysis of Factors of Terrorist Activities: A Systematic Review
  66. The Cybernetic Revolution, COVID-19 and the E-state
  67. Will Global Aging Change the Pace of Technological Progress and Create a New Consumption Model?
  68. BRICS+ and the architecture of the new world order
  69. Chiefdoms: Beyond Time
  70. The roots of the Turkish-Qatari-Ikhwani alliance and its activities in North Africa and the Middle East
  71. Demographic Transformations in the Light of Technological Development: Types of Demographic Reproduction in the Past and in the Future
  72. Social Evolution: Theoretical Aspects and General Outlines
  73. Arab Spring, Its Aftermath, and James Davies’ Inverted J-Curve
  74. Quantitative Analysis of Political Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization (A Systematic Review)
  75. Forthcoming youth bulge in Egypt: possible sociopolitical implications
  76. Революционные события XXI века: предварительный количественный анализ
  77. Aging of the Global Population as an Integral Problem of the Future
  78. Global Aging and our Futures
  79. Economic Origins of Revolutions: the Link between GDP and the Risk of Revolutionary Events
  80. Education and Revolutions: Why do Revolutionary Uprisings Take Violent or Nonviolent Forms?
  81. Revolutions and Democracy
  82. A Quantitative Analysis of Economic Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization: Results and Prospects
  83. Africa: The Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities
  84. Conclusion: Reconsidering the Limits – Suggestions (Come On!)
  85. Demography: Toward Optimization of Demographic Processes
  86. Future Political Change. Toward a more Efficient World Order
  87. Global Aging: An Integral Problem of the Future. How to Turn a Problem into a Development Driver?
  88. High-Income and Low-Income Countries. Toward a Common Goal at Different Speeds
  89. Introduction: Hoping for the Future
  90. Macrohistorical Approach
  91. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. An Overview
  92. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics: Africa’s Futures
  93. The Future Society and the Transition to It
  94. Demographic Factors as Predictors of Revolutionary Situations: Experience in Quantitative Analysis
  95. A Troubled Return to the Homeland: Syrian Circassians in Southern Russia
  96. Students and protests: A quantitative cross-national analysis
  97. Machine Learning for Ranking Factors of Global and Regional Protest Destabilization with a Special Focus on Afrasian Instability Macrozone
  98. Urbanization and Revolutions: a Quantitative Analysis
  99. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  100. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  101. The long cycle perspective on the emerging bio age
  102. The Global Terrorist Threat in the Sahel and the Origins of Terrorism in Burkina Faso
  103. Explaining the rise of moralizing religions: a test of competing hypotheses using the Seshat Databank
  104. Big Gods and big science: further reflections on theory, data, and analysis
  105. Will capitalism die? Reflections on the Capitalism of the Past, Present and Future
  106. Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: A comprehensive test of hypotheses
  107. Developed and developing countries: towards the common target with different speeds
  108. Internet, Political Regime and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis
  109. 20th Century revolutions: characteristics, types, and waves
  110. Education and Revolutions (Why Do Some Revolutions Take up Arms while Others Do Not?)
  111. The Future of Revolutions in the 21st Century and the World System Reconfiguration
  112. The impact of values of men and women on their life expectancy
  113. Global Systems for Sociopolitical Instability Forecasting and Their Efficiency
  114. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  115. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  116. Urban Youth and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis (Are Youth Bulges Relevant Anymore?)
  117. COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations
  118. Cybernetic Revolution, Sixth Long Kondratiev Cycle, and Global Aging
  119. Estimates of the possible economic effect of the demographic dividend for sub-Saharan Africa for the period up to 2036
  120. Волны революций XXI столетия
  121. Political Regime Types and Revolutionary Destabilization Risks in the Twenty-First Century
  122. Urbanization, the Youth, and Protest: A Cross-National Analysis
  123. Charting the evolution of key military technologies over thousands of years
  124. Deprivation, instability, and propensity to attack: how urbanization influences terrorism
  125. Terrorism and Democracy
  126. Global Trends and Forecasts of the 21st Century
  127. Socio-Economic Development and Protests: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  128. Effect of the Arab Spring on Stabilization Capacity of the MENA Monarchies
  129. Доля молодежи в общей численности взрослого населения как фактор интенсивности ненасильственных протестов: опыт количественного анализа
  130. Formal Education and Contentious Politics: The Case of Violent and Non-Violent Protest
  131. Mathematical Model of Interaction between Civilization Center and Tribal Periphery: A Description
  132. Second Wave of the Libyan Civil War: Factors and Actors
  133. Some Sociodemographic Factors of the Intensity of Anti-Government Demonstrations: Youth Bulges, Urbanization, and Protests
  134. Universal Impact of Formal Education on Value Attitudes in Cross-Regional Perspective
  135. Socio-economic Development and Anti-government Protests in Light of a New Quantitative Analysis of Global Databases
  136. Evolution of stability of socioeconomic system functioning: Some approaches to modeling (with an application to the case of Egypt, 2011–2013)
  137. Non-Beverage Alcohol Consumption In Izhevsk: 15 Years Later
  138. Image of Russia in Afghanistan 30 Years after the Soviet Union Collapse
  139. Seven Weaknesses of the U.S., Donald Trump, and the Future of American Hegemony
  140. The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment
  141. Russia’s Policy towards the Middle East: The Case of Yemen
  142. A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century
  143. Evolution of Sociopolitical Institutions in North-East Yemen (The 1st Millennium BCE–The 2nd Millennium CE)
  144. Internet and Terrorist Activity in Countries with Different Political Regimes (Quantitative Analysis)
  145. The Effectiveness of Global Systems for Monitoring Sociopolitical Instability: A Systematic Analysis
  146. Relative Deprivation as a Factor of Sociopolitical Destabilization: Toward a Quantitative Comparative Analysis of the Arab Spring Events
  147. Variation of Human Values and Modernization: Preliminary Results
  148. Immanuel Maurice Wallerstein (1930–2019)
  149. Religiosity and Aging: Age and Cohort Effects and Their Implications for the Future of Religious Values in High‐Income OECD Countries
  150. Economic Growth, Education, and Terrorism: A Re-Analysis
  151. Contemporary Islamism: an analysis of its functions and features
  152. Echo of the Arab Spring in Eastern Europe: A Quantitative Analysis
  153. Value orientations of the Afrasian zone of instability: gender dimensions
  154. Democracy and Terrorism: A Re-analysis
  155. Human Values and Modernization: A Global Analysis
  156. Политические аспекты современного исламизма
  157. Относительная депривация как фактор социально-политической дестабилизации: опыт количественного анализа
  158. A Big History of Globalization
  159. How Syrian Conflict and Its Migration Crisis Echoed in the Southern Regions of Russia (On the Example of Karachay-Cherkessia)
  160. Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy
  161. Great Divergence of the 18th Century?
  162. A Wave of Global Sociopolitical Destabilization of the 2010s: A Quantitative Analysis
  163. Arab Spring, Revolutions, and the Democratic Values
  164. Background
  165. Between the Arab Spring and the Support for Terrorism
  166. General Conclusion to the Monograph. Mena Region and Global Transformations. Arab Spring and the Beginning of the World System Reconfiguration
  167. Introduction. Why Arab Spring Became Arab Winter
  168. Islamism and Its Role in Modern Islamic Societies
  169. Islamism, Arab Spring and the Future of Democracy
  170. Methods and Data for the Analysis
  171. Perturbations in the Arab World During the Arab Spring: A General Analysis
  172. Radical Islamism and Islamist Terrorism
  173. The Middle East in the World System Context in Comparison with India and China: Some Backgrounds of Islamism in the MENA Region
  174. The Solitude of the West in the Fight against Terror
  175. Distilled Spirits Overconsumption as the Most Important Factor of Excessive Adult Male Mortality in Europe
  176. Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Re-Analysis
  177. Reply to Tosh et al.: Quantitative analyses of cultural evolution require engagement with historical and archaeological research
  178. Contemporary Trends in Russia’s Fertility Rate and the Impact of State Support Measures
  179. Oil prices, socio-political destabilization risks, and future energy technologies
  180. METAMORPHOSES OF INTRA-SYRIA NEGOTIATION PROCESS
  181. Economic development, education, and terrorism: A quantitative analysis
  182. Forthcoming changes in world population distribution and global connectivity: implications for global foresight
  183. Unemployment as a Predictor of Socio-Political Destabilization in Western and Eastern Europe
  184. К СИСТЕМНОМУ АНАЛИЗУ КОЛИЧЕСТВЕННЫХ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ РАЗВИТИЯ ОБРАЗОВАТЕЛЬНЫХ СИСТЕМ АРАБСКИХ СТРАН, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  185. Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability in the United Kingdom after 1960: A Demographic Structural Analysis
  186. Chiefdoms:
  187. Chiefdoms from the Beginning Until Now
  188. Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
  189. “Neighbors in values”: A new dataset of cultural distances between countries based on individuals’ values, and its application to the study of global trade
  190. The future of the global economy in the light of inflationary and deflationary trends and long cycles theory
  191. Волна глобальной социально-политической дестабилизации 2011-2015 гг.: количественный анализ
  192. Akamatsu Waves
  193. GDP Per Capita and Protest Activity: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  194. Transition to a new global paradigm of development and the role of the united nations in this process
  195. Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?
  196. Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing
  197. Toward Forecasting Global Economic Dynamics of the Forthcoming Years
  198. Circumscription Theory of the Origins of the State: A Cross-Cultural Re-Analysis
  199. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends
  200. World Order Transformation and Sociopolitical Destabilization
  201. Spring and Its Global Echo: Quantitative Analysis
  202. Экономический рост и социально-политическая дестабилизация: опыт глобального анализа
  203. Economic Development, Sociopolitical Destabilization and Inequality
  204. Olson—Huntington Hypothesis on a Bell-Shaped Relationship Between the Level of Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis
  205. The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution
  206. ВЕЛИКАЯ ДИВЕРГЕНЦИЯ XVIII ВЕКА?, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  207. Romantic Love and Family Organization
  208. Regime Type and Political Destabilization in Cross-National Perspective: A Re-Analysis
  209. Arab Spring as a Global Phase Transition Trigger
  210. Explaining Current Fertility Dynamics in Tropical Africa From an Anthropological Perspective
  211. Alcohol Control Policies and Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia: Reply to Razvodovsky and Nemtsov
  212. Scenario Demographic Forecasts for the Bric Countries (((((((((( )
  213. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery
  214. GDP PER CAPITA, PROTEST INTENSITY AND REGIME TYPE: A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
  215. Afterword: New Kondratieff Wave and Forthcoming Global Social Transformation
  216. From Kondratieff Cycles to Akamatsu Waves? A New Center-Periphery Perspective on Long Cycles
  217. Interaction between Kondratieff Waves and Juglar Cycles
  218. Introduction. Cyclical and World-Systemic Aspects of Economic Reality with Respect to Contemporary Crisis
  219. Kondratieff Waves and Technological Revolutions
  220. Kondratieff Waves in the World System Perspective
  221. Our Place in the Universe: An Introduction to Big History ed. by Barry Rodrigue, Leonid Grinin, and Andrey Korotayev
  222. MENA Region and the Possible Beginning of World System Reconfiguration
  223. Intermediate Types of Political Regimes and Socio-Political Instability (Quantitative Cross-National Analysis)
  224. Egyptian coup of 2013: an ‘econometric’ analysis
  225. East Africa in the Malthusian Trap?
  226. Center-Periphery Dissonance as a Possible Factor of the Revolutionary Wave of 2013-2014
  227. Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses
  228. Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  229. Will the explosive growth of China continue?
  230. Effects of Specific Alcohol Control Policy Measures on Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013
  231. Political Geography of Modern Egypt
  232. Corrigendum
  233. : (Political Demography of the World Economy: Tropical Africa)
  234. . (Political Demography of Russia. Politics and State Government)
  235. Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  236. Afterword: The Great Convergence and Possible Increase in Global Instability, or the World Without an Absolute Leader
  237. Great Convergence and the Rise of the Rest
  238. Great Divergence and the Rise of the West
  239. Introduction. And Yet the Twain Meet: Great Convergence Brings the East Closer to the West
  240. The Great Convergence and Globalization: How Former Colonies Became the World Economic Locomotives
  241. Ukrainian Mosaic (An Attempt at Quantitative Analysis of Ukrainian Electoral Statistics)
  242. Globalization Shuffles Cards of the World Pack: In Which Direction is the Global Economic-Political Balance Shifting?
  243. The Importance of Gossip Across Societies
  244. What does global migration network say about recent changes in the world system structure?
  245. On the structure of the present-day convergence
  246. Female Labor Force Participation Rate, Islam, and Arab Culture in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  247. Revolution vs. Democracy (revolution and conterrevolution in Egypt)
  248. The Arab Spring: A Quantitative Analysis
  249. Explosive Population Growth in Tropical Africa: Crucial Omission in Development Forecasts—Emerging Risks and Way Out
  250. Global Population Dynamics Drive the Phases of the Great Divergence and Convergence
  251. Measuring globalization
  252. Economic Dynamics of the United States in 1990—2011: Keynesian Analysis
  253. Urbanization Dynamics in Egypt: Factors, Trends, Perspectives
  254. The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society
  255. Does “Arab Spring” Mean The Beginning Of World System Reconfiguration?
  256. On the dynamics of the world demographic transition and financial-economic crises forecasts
  257. The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Scenarios of the Near Future
  258. Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900–2008)
  259. Huge rise in gold and oil prices as a precursor of a global financial and economic crisis
  260. Cross-Cultural Analysis of Models of Romantic Love Among U.S. Residents, Russians, and Lithuanians
  261. Biological and Social Phases of Big History: Similarities and Differences of Evolutionary Principles and Mechanisms
  262. Relationship between genome size and organismal complexity in the lineage leading from prokaryotes to mammals
  263. Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions
  264. Book review: Akop P. Nazaretyan, Anthropology of violence and culture of self-organization. Essays in evolutionary historical psychology, 2nd edition, Moscow, URSS, 2008, 256 pages (in Russian)
  265. Potential for Alcohol Policy to Decrease the Mortality Crisis in Russia
  266. Globalization as Evolutionary Process
  267. Phanerozoic marine biodiversity follows a hyperbolic trend
  268. Wife–Husband Intimacy and Female Status in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  269. Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered
  270. Ethnographic Atlas XXXI: Peoples of Easternmost Europe
  271. A Cross-Cultural Investigation of the Role of Foot Size in Physical Attractiveness
  272. Valuing thinness or fatness in women
  273. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution
  274. Community, Identity and the State
  275. Ethnographic Atlas XXX: Peoples of Siberia
  276. Civilisational Models of Politogenesis ed. by Dmitri M. Bondarenko, Andrey V. Korotayev
  277. Division of Labor by Gender and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  278. Evolutionary Implications of Cross-Cultural Correlations
  279. "Galton's Asset" and "Flower's Problem Cultural Networks and Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research Ml (Or, Male Genital Mutilations and Polygyny in Cross-Cultural Perspective)
  280. Form of Marriage, Sexual Division of Labor, and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  281. “Early State” in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Statistical Reanalysis of Henri J. M. Claessen’s Database
  282. Factors of Sexual Freedom Among Foragers in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  283. Monopolization of Information and Female Status: A Cross-Cultural Test
  284. Status of Women, Female Contribution to Subsistence, and Monopolization of Information: Further Cross-Cultural Comparisons
  285. Unilineal Descent Organization and Deep Christianization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  286. Origins and evolution of chiefdoms
  287. Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration (or Apologia for Diffusionism)
  288. Polygyny and Democracy: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  289. Family Size and Community Organization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  290. Parallel-Cousin (FBD) Marriage, Islamization, and Arabization
  291. Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research
  292. Sexual Equality and Romantic Love: A Reanalysis of Rosenblatt’s Study on the Function of Romantic Love
  293. The earliest Sabaeans in the Jawf: A reconsideration
  294. Aramaeans in a Late Sabaic Inscription
  295. Inventaire des inscriptions sudarabiques. Tome I. Inabba’, Haram, Al-Kāfir, Kamna Et Al-Ḥarāshif. Fascicule A. Les Documents. Fascicule B. Les Planches. By Christian Robin, pp. 221, 60 pi. Paris, Académie des Inscriptions et Belles-Lettres; Rome, Istit...
  296. Apologia for ‘the Sabaean cultural-political area’
  297. Internal structure of Middle Sabaean bayt
  298. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  299. MIDDLE SABAIC BN Z: CLAN GROUP, OR HEAD OF CLAN?
  300. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  301. Mathematical models of world-system development
  302. The Afroeurasian world-system
  303. SASci 2007 Annual Meeting Panel Proposal: Sociocultural and Political Evolution: patterns, trends, mechanisms, and mathematical models