All Stories

  1. All Crises are Unhappy in Their Own Way: The Role of Societal Instability in Shaping the Past
  2. Mortality in Russia: problems and ways forward
  3. Why Do Revolutions Tend to Become Less Violent?
  4. Revolutions of the 21st century and the fifth generation of researchers of revolutionary events
  5. Biological and Social Phases of Big History and Universal Evolution
  6. Complexity in Big History
  7. On coupvolution: A type of revolutionary episodes in the modern West African context
  8. Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization in the Regime Context. A Quantitative Analysis
  9. Islamic Monarchies, Youth Bulges, and Socio-political Destabilization
  10. Shaping a New World Order and BRICS+
  11. Comparing and Contrasting Big History Singularity Trends of the Big Bang and Terrestrial Evolution
  12. Conclusions: Exploring Big History Periodizations Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions with Ideas for Further Research
  13. Discussion: Cross-Cutting Topics and a Variety of Periodizations
  14. Navigating Complexity in Big History—Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions: An Introduction
  15. Possible Methodological Ideas for Periodizing Big History
  16. Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates: Tactical or Strategic Partnership?
  17. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. A Systematic Review
  18. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part III: A Systematic Review of Substantive Findings (Repression, Success, and Outcomes of Revolutions)
  19. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part II: A Systematic Review of Substantive Findings (Revolution Causes, Forms, and Waves)
  20. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part I: When, Why, and How Did It Emerge
  21. Global Aging and the Medicine of the Future
  22. Inflationary Pressure and Revolutionary Destabilization: Impact Assessment and Comparative Analysis
  23. “When Jobs Are Scarce”
  24. Discussion Among the Fifth-Generation Circle. A rejoinder to Mark Beissinger, Daniel Ritter, Valentine Moghadam, Egor Fain, and Alisa Shishkina
  25. USAID Democracy Promotion as a Possible Predictor of Revolutionary Destabilization
  26. Is the Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies Still Coming?
  27. Revolution and Democracy in the Twenty-First Century
  28. Will Global Aging Change the Rate of Technological Progress and Form a New Consumption Model?
  29. Global Evolutionary Perspectives on Gender Differences in Religiosity, Family, Politics and Pro-Social Values Based on the Data from the World Values Survey
  30. Capitalism’s Unclear Futures
  31. Elections, Type of Regime and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization
  32. Africa—The Continent of the Future. Demographic and Economic Challenges and Opportunities
  33. Introduction: Terrorism and Political Contention in North Africa and the Sahel Region
  34. Non-beverage alcohol consumption in Russia: new evidence from Jewish Autonomous Oblast
  35. Coupvolution as a Mechanism of Regime Change in the Sahel
  36. Revolutionary History of Niger: From Independence to 2023 Coup
  37. Revolutionary and Quasi-Revolutionary Events in Somalia (1960–2023)
  38. Traditional Clan-Tribal Structures and Modern Political System of Somalia
  39. Anti-aging as a Key Challenge for the Medicine of the Future
  40. Biotechnologies in Perspective: Major Breakthroughs, Development of Self-regulating Systems and Possible Social Confrontations
  41. Conclusion. Toward Cybernetic Society
  42. Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging
  43. Cybernetic Revolution and MANBRIC Technologies. When, How and Where Will the Forthcoming Breakthrough Start?
  44. Cybernetic Revolution and Self-managing Systems
  45. Demographic Transformations in the Historical Process
  46. Global Aging and Other Demographic Trends Within Cybernetic Production Principle
  47. Global Aging, Adaptation to It and Future Demographic Transformations
  48. Global Technological Transformations Since the Stone Age: Theory and History
  49. Introduction: Between Human and Post-human Revolutions, or What Future Awaits Us?
  50. Long-Term Dynamics of Technological Growth: Would it Lead Us to the Singularity?
  51. Medicine and the Cybernetic Revolution: On the Way to Control Over the Human Body
  52. Nanotechnologies, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence and Other MANBRIC Technologies in the Long-Term Development
  53. Quantitative Analysis of Factors of Terrorist Activities: A Systematic Review
  54. The Cybernetic Revolution, COVID-19 and the E-state
  55. Will Global Aging Change the Pace of Technological Progress and Create a New Consumption Model?
  56. The roots of the Turkish-Qatari-Ikhwani alliance and its activities in North Africa and the Middle East
  57. Demographic Transformations in the Light of Technological Development: Types of Demographic Reproduction in the Past and in the Future
  58. Social Evolution: Theoretical Aspects and General Outlines
  59. Arab Spring, Its Aftermath, and James Davies’ Inverted J-Curve
  60. Quantitative Analysis of Political Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization (A Systematic Review)
  61. Forthcoming youth bulge in Egypt: possible sociopolitical implications
  62. Революционные события XXI века: предварительный количественный анализ
  63. Aging of the Global Population as an Integral Problem of the Future
  64. Global Aging and our Futures
  65. Economic Origins of Revolutions: the Link between GDP and the Risk of Revolutionary Events
  66. Education and Revolutions: Why do Revolutionary Uprisings Take Violent or Nonviolent Forms?
  67. Revolutions and Democracy
  68. A Quantitative Analysis of Economic Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization: Results and Prospects
  69. Africa: The Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities
  70. Conclusion: Reconsidering the Limits – Suggestions (Come On!)
  71. Demography: Toward Optimization of Demographic Processes
  72. Future Political Change. Toward a more Efficient World Order
  73. Global Aging: An Integral Problem of the Future. How to Turn a Problem into a Development Driver?
  74. High-Income and Low-Income Countries. Toward a Common Goal at Different Speeds
  75. Introduction: Hoping for the Future
  76. Macrohistorical Approach
  77. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. An Overview
  78. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics: Africa’s Futures
  79. The Future Society and the Transition to It
  80. Demographic Factors as Predictors of Revolutionary Situations: Experience in Quantitative Analysis
  81. A Troubled Return to the Homeland: Syrian Circassians in Southern Russia
  82. Students and protests: A quantitative cross-national analysis
  83. Machine Learning for Ranking Factors of Global and Regional Protest Destabilization with a Special Focus on Afrasian Instability Macrozone
  84. Urbanization and Revolutions: a Quantitative Analysis
  85. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  86. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  87. The long cycle perspective on the emerging bio age
  88. The Global Terrorist Threat in the Sahel and the Origins of Terrorism in Burkina Faso
  89. Explaining the rise of moralizing religions: a test of competing hypotheses using the Seshat Databank
  90. Big Gods and big science: further reflections on theory, data, and analysis
  91. Will capitalism die? Reflections on the Capitalism of the Past, Present and Future
  92. Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: A comprehensive test of hypotheses
  93. Developed and developing countries: towards the common target with different speeds
  94. Internet, Political Regime and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis
  95. 20th Century revolutions: characteristics, types, and waves
  96. Education and Revolutions (Why Do Some Revolutions Take up Arms while Others Do Not?)
  97. The Future of Revolutions in the 21st Century and the World System Reconfiguration
  98. The impact of values of men and women on their life expectancy
  99. Global Systems for Sociopolitical Instability Forecasting and Their Efficiency
  100. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  101. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  102. Urban Youth and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis (Are Youth Bulges Relevant Anymore?)
  103. COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations
  104. Cybernetic Revolution, Sixth Long Kondratiev Cycle, and Global Aging
  105. Estimates of the possible economic effect of the demographic dividend for sub-Saharan Africa for the period up to 2036
  106. Волны революций XXI столетия
  107. Political Regime Types and Revolutionary Destabilization Risks in the Twenty-First Century
  108. Urbanization, the Youth, and Protest: A Cross-National Analysis
  109. Charting the evolution of key military technologies over thousands of years
  110. Deprivation, instability, and propensity to attack: how urbanization influences terrorism
  111. Terrorism and Democracy
  112. Global Trends and Forecasts of the 21st Century
  113. Socio-Economic Development and Protests: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  114. Effect of the Arab Spring on Stabilization Capacity of the MENA Monarchies
  115. Доля молодежи в общей численности взрослого населения как фактор интенсивности ненасильственных протестов: опыт количественного анализа
  116. Formal Education and Contentious Politics: The Case of Violent and Non-Violent Protest
  117. Mathematical Model of Interaction between Civilization Center and Tribal Periphery: A Description
  118. Second Wave of the Libyan Civil War: Factors and Actors
  119. Some Sociodemographic Factors of the Intensity of Anti-Government Demonstrations: Youth Bulges, Urbanization, and Protests
  120. Universal Impact of Formal Education on Value Attitudes in Cross-Regional Perspective
  121. Socio-economic Development and Anti-government Protests in Light of a New Quantitative Analysis of Global Databases
  122. Evolution of stability of socioeconomic system functioning: Some approaches to modeling (with an application to the case of Egypt, 2011–2013)
  123. Non-Beverage Alcohol Consumption In Izhevsk: 15 Years Later
  124. Image of Russia in Afghanistan 30 Years after the Soviet Union Collapse
  125. Seven Weaknesses of the U.S., Donald Trump, and the Future of American Hegemony
  126. The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment
  127. Russia’s Policy towards the Middle East: The Case of Yemen
  128. A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century
  129. Evolution of Sociopolitical Institutions in North-East Yemen (The 1st Millennium BCE–The 2nd Millennium CE)
  130. Internet and Terrorist Activity in Countries with Different Political Regimes (Quantitative Analysis)
  131. The Effectiveness of Global Systems for Monitoring Sociopolitical Instability: A Systematic Analysis
  132. Relative Deprivation as a Factor of Sociopolitical Destabilization: Toward a Quantitative Comparative Analysis of the Arab Spring Events
  133. Variation of Human Values and Modernization: Preliminary Results
  134. Immanuel Maurice Wallerstein (1930–2019)
  135. Religiosity and Aging: Age and Cohort Effects and Their Implications for the Future of Religious Values in High‐Income OECD Countries
  136. Economic Growth, Education, and Terrorism: A Re-Analysis
  137. Contemporary Islamism: an analysis of its functions and features
  138. Echo of the Arab Spring in Eastern Europe: A Quantitative Analysis
  139. Value orientations of the Afrasian zone of instability: gender dimensions
  140. Democracy and Terrorism: A Re-analysis
  141. Human Values and Modernization: A Global Analysis
  142. Политические аспекты современного исламизма
  143. Относительная депривация как фактор социально-политической дестабилизации: опыт количественного анализа
  144. A Big History of Globalization
  145. How Syrian Conflict and Its Migration Crisis Echoed in the Southern Regions of Russia (On the Example of Karachay-Cherkessia)
  146. Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy
  147. Great Divergence of the 18th Century?
  148. A Wave of Global Sociopolitical Destabilization of the 2010s: A Quantitative Analysis
  149. Arab Spring, Revolutions, and the Democratic Values
  150. Background
  151. Between the Arab Spring and the Support for Terrorism
  152. General Conclusion to the Monograph. Mena Region and Global Transformations. Arab Spring and the Beginning of the World System Reconfiguration
  153. Introduction. Why Arab Spring Became Arab Winter
  154. Islamism and Its Role in Modern Islamic Societies
  155. Islamism, Arab Spring and the Future of Democracy
  156. Methods and Data for the Analysis
  157. Perturbations in the Arab World During the Arab Spring: A General Analysis
  158. Radical Islamism and Islamist Terrorism
  159. The Middle East in the World System Context in Comparison with India and China: Some Backgrounds of Islamism in the MENA Region
  160. The Solitude of the West in the Fight against Terror
  161. Distilled Spirits Overconsumption as the Most Important Factor of Excessive Adult Male Mortality in Europe
  162. Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Re-Analysis
  163. Reply to Tosh et al.: Quantitative analyses of cultural evolution require engagement with historical and archaeological research
  164. Contemporary Trends in Russia’s Fertility Rate and the Impact of State Support Measures
  165. Oil prices, socio-political destabilization risks, and future energy technologies
  166. METAMORPHOSES OF INTRA-SYRIA NEGOTIATION PROCESS
  167. Economic development, education, and terrorism: A quantitative analysis
  168. Forthcoming changes in world population distribution and global connectivity: implications for global foresight
  169. Unemployment as a Predictor of Socio-Political Destabilization in Western and Eastern Europe
  170. К СИСТЕМНОМУ АНАЛИЗУ КОЛИЧЕСТВЕННЫХ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ РАЗВИТИЯ ОБРАЗОВАТЕЛЬНЫХ СИСТЕМ АРАБСКИХ СТРАН, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  171. Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability in the United Kingdom after 1960: A Demographic Structural Analysis
  172. Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
  173. “Neighbors in values”: A new dataset of cultural distances between countries based on individuals’ values, and its application to the study of global trade
  174. The future of the global economy in the light of inflationary and deflationary trends and long cycles theory
  175. Волна глобальной социально-политической дестабилизации 2011-2015 гг.: количественный анализ
  176. Akamatsu Waves
  177. GDP Per Capita and Protest Activity: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  178. Transition to a new global paradigm of development and the role of the united nations in this process
  179. Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?
  180. Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing
  181. Toward Forecasting Global Economic Dynamics of the Forthcoming Years
  182. Circumscription Theory of the Origins of the State: A Cross-Cultural Re-Analysis
  183. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends
  184. World Order Transformation and Sociopolitical Destabilization
  185. Spring and Its Global Echo: Quantitative Analysis
  186. Экономический рост и социально-политическая дестабилизация: опыт глобального анализа
  187. Economic Development, Sociopolitical Destabilization and Inequality
  188. Olson—Huntington Hypothesis on a Bell-Shaped Relationship Between the Level of Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis
  189. The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution
  190. ВЕЛИКАЯ ДИВЕРГЕНЦИЯ XVIII ВЕКА?, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  191. Romantic Love and Family Organization
  192. Regime Type and Political Destabilization in Cross-National Perspective: A Re-Analysis
  193. Arab Spring as a Global Phase Transition Trigger
  194. Explaining Current Fertility Dynamics in Tropical Africa From an Anthropological Perspective
  195. Alcohol Control Policies and Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia: Reply to Razvodovsky and Nemtsov
  196. Scenario Demographic Forecasts for the Bric Countries (((((((((( )
  197. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery
  198. GDP PER CAPITA, PROTEST INTENSITY AND REGIME TYPE: A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
  199. Afterword: New Kondratieff Wave and Forthcoming Global Social Transformation
  200. From Kondratieff Cycles to Akamatsu Waves? A New Center-Periphery Perspective on Long Cycles
  201. Interaction between Kondratieff Waves and Juglar Cycles
  202. Introduction. Cyclical and World-Systemic Aspects of Economic Reality with Respect to Contemporary Crisis
  203. Kondratieff Waves and Technological Revolutions
  204. Kondratieff Waves in the World System Perspective
  205. Our Place in the Universe: An Introduction to Big History ed. by Barry Rodrigue, Leonid Grinin, and Andrey Korotayev
  206. MENA Region and the Possible Beginning of World System Reconfiguration
  207. Intermediate Types of Political Regimes and Socio-Political Instability (Quantitative Cross-National Analysis)
  208. Egyptian coup of 2013: an ‘econometric’ analysis
  209. East Africa in the Malthusian Trap?
  210. Center-Periphery Dissonance as a Possible Factor of the Revolutionary Wave of 2013-2014
  211. Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses
  212. Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  213. Will the explosive growth of China continue?
  214. Effects of Specific Alcohol Control Policy Measures on Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013
  215. Political Geography of Modern Egypt
  216. Corrigendum
  217. : (Political Demography of the World Economy: Tropical Africa)
  218. . (Political Demography of Russia. Politics and State Government)
  219. Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  220. Afterword: The Great Convergence and Possible Increase in Global Instability, or the World Without an Absolute Leader
  221. Great Convergence and the Rise of the Rest
  222. Great Divergence and the Rise of the West
  223. Introduction. And Yet the Twain Meet: Great Convergence Brings the East Closer to the West
  224. The Great Convergence and Globalization: How Former Colonies Became the World Economic Locomotives
  225. Ukrainian Mosaic (An Attempt at Quantitative Analysis of Ukrainian Electoral Statistics)
  226. Globalization Shuffles Cards of the World Pack: In Which Direction is the Global Economic-Political Balance Shifting?
  227. The Importance of Gossip Across Societies
  228. What does global migration network say about recent changes in the world system structure?
  229. On the structure of the present-day convergence
  230. Female Labor Force Participation Rate, Islam, and Arab Culture in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  231. Revolution vs. Democracy (revolution and conterrevolution in Egypt)
  232. The Arab Spring: A Quantitative Analysis
  233. Explosive Population Growth in Tropical Africa: Crucial Omission in Development Forecasts—Emerging Risks and Way Out
  234. Global Population Dynamics Drive the Phases of the Great Divergence and Convergence
  235. Measuring globalization
  236. Economic Dynamics of the United States in 1990—2011: Keynesian Analysis
  237. Urbanization Dynamics in Egypt: Factors, Trends, Perspectives
  238. The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society
  239. Does “Arab Spring” Mean The Beginning Of World System Reconfiguration?
  240. On the dynamics of the world demographic transition and financial-economic crises forecasts
  241. The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Scenarios of the Near Future
  242. Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900–2008)
  243. Huge rise in gold and oil prices as a precursor of a global financial and economic crisis
  244. Cross-Cultural Analysis of Models of Romantic Love Among U.S. Residents, Russians, and Lithuanians
  245. Biological and Social Phases of Big History: Similarities and Differences of Evolutionary Principles and Mechanisms
  246. Relationship between genome size and organismal complexity in the lineage leading from prokaryotes to mammals
  247. Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions
  248. Book review: Akop P. Nazaretyan, Anthropology of violence and culture of self-organization. Essays in evolutionary historical psychology, 2nd edition, Moscow, URSS, 2008, 256 pages (in Russian)
  249. Potential for Alcohol Policy to Decrease the Mortality Crisis in Russia
  250. Globalization as Evolutionary Process
  251. Phanerozoic marine biodiversity follows a hyperbolic trend
  252. Wife–Husband Intimacy and Female Status in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  253. Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered
  254. Ethnographic Atlas XXXI: Peoples of Easternmost Europe
  255. A Cross-Cultural Investigation of the Role of Foot Size in Physical Attractiveness
  256. Valuing thinness or fatness in women
  257. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution
  258. Community, Identity and the State
  259. Ethnographic Atlas XXX: Peoples of Siberia
  260. Civilisational Models of Politogenesis ed. by Dmitri M. Bondarenko, Andrey V. Korotayev
  261. Division of Labor by Gender and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  262. Evolutionary Implications of Cross-Cultural Correlations
  263. "Galton's Asset" and "Flower's Problem Cultural Networks and Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research Ml (Or, Male Genital Mutilations and Polygyny in Cross-Cultural Perspective)
  264. Form of Marriage, Sexual Division of Labor, and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  265. “Early State” in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Statistical Reanalysis of Henri J. M. Claessen’s Database
  266. Factors of Sexual Freedom Among Foragers in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  267. Monopolization of Information and Female Status: A Cross-Cultural Test
  268. Status of Women, Female Contribution to Subsistence, and Monopolization of Information: Further Cross-Cultural Comparisons
  269. Unilineal Descent Organization and Deep Christianization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  270. Origins and evolution of chiefdoms
  271. Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration (or Apologia for Diffusionism)
  272. Polygyny and Democracy: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  273. Family Size and Community Organization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  274. Parallel-Cousin (FBD) Marriage, Islamization, and Arabization
  275. Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research
  276. Sexual Equality and Romantic Love: A Reanalysis of Rosenblatt’s Study on the Function of Romantic Love
  277. The earliest Sabaeans in the Jawf: A reconsideration
  278. Aramaeans in a Late Sabaic Inscription
  279. Inventaire des inscriptions sudarabiques. Tome I. Inabba’, Haram, Al-Kāfir, Kamna Et Al-Ḥarāshif. Fascicule A. Les Documents. Fascicule B. Les Planches. By Christian Robin, pp. 221, 60 pi. Paris, Académie des Inscriptions et Belles-Lettres; Rome, Istit...
  280. Apologia for ‘the Sabaean cultural-political area’
  281. Internal structure of Middle Sabaean bayt
  282. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  283. MIDDLE SABAIC BN Z: CLAN GROUP, OR HEAD OF CLAN?
  284. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  285. Mathematical models of world-system development
  286. The Afroeurasian world-system
  287. SASci 2007 Annual Meeting Panel Proposal: Sociocultural and Political Evolution: patterns, trends, mechanisms, and mathematical models