All Stories

  1. Economic development and revolutions. A cross-national investigation
  2. Alloparenting as a Factor of the Persistently High Fertility Rates in Central Africa
  3. Why Does High African Fertility Persist? Women’s Education vs. Women’s Employment
  4. Natural Resources, Ethnopolitical Conflicts and Risk Factors for Sustainable Development in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
  5. All Crises are Unhappy in Their Own Way: The Role of Societal Instability in Shaping the Past
  6. Mortality in Russia: problems and ways forward
  7. Why Do Revolutions Tend to Become Less Violent?
  8. Revolutions of the 21st century and the fifth generation of researchers of revolutionary events
  9. Biological and Social Phases of Big History and Universal Evolution
  10. Complexity in Big History
  11. On coupvolution: A type of revolutionary episodes in the modern West African context
  12. Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization in the Regime Context. A Quantitative Analysis
  13. Islamic Monarchies, Youth Bulges, and Socio-political Destabilization
  14. Shaping a New World Order and BRICS+
  15. Comparing and Contrasting Big History Singularity Trends of the Big Bang and Terrestrial Evolution
  16. Conclusions: Exploring Big History Periodizations Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions with Ideas for Further Research
  17. Discussion: Cross-Cutting Topics and a Variety of Periodizations
  18. Navigating Complexity in Big History—Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions: An Introduction
  19. Possible Methodological Ideas for Periodizing Big History
  20. Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates: Tactical or Strategic Partnership?
  21. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. A Systematic Review
  22. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part III: A Systematic Review of Substantive Findings (Repression, Success, and Outcomes of Revolutions)
  23. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part II: A Systematic Review of Substantive Findings (Revolution Causes, Forms, and Waves)
  24. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part I: When, Why, and How Did It Emerge
  25. COMPLEXITY GROWTH IN THE BIG HISTORY. A PRELIMINARY QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
  26. Global Aging and the Medicine of the Future
  27. Introduction. Reconsidering the Limits to Growth
  28. Inflationary Pressure and Revolutionary Destabilization: Impact Assessment and Comparative Analysis
  29. “When Jobs Are Scarce”
  30. Discussion Among the Fifth-Generation Circle. A rejoinder to Mark Beissinger, Daniel Ritter, Valentine Moghadam, Egor Fain, and Alisa Shishkina
  31. USAID Democracy Promotion as a Possible Predictor of Revolutionary Destabilization
  32. Is the Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies Still Coming?
  33. Revolution and Democracy in the Twenty-First Century
  34. Will Global Aging Change the Rate of Technological Progress and Form a New Consumption Model?
  35. Global Evolutionary Perspectives on Gender Differences in Religiosity, Family, Politics and Pro-Social Values Based on the Data from the World Values Survey
  36. Capitalism’s Unclear Futures
  37. Elections, Type of Regime and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization
  38. Africa—The Continent of the Future. Demographic and Economic Challenges and Opportunities
  39. Introduction: Terrorism and Political Contention in North Africa and the Sahel Region
  40. Non-beverage alcohol consumption in Russia: new evidence from Jewish Autonomous Oblast
  41. Coupvolution as a Mechanism of Regime Change in the Sahel
  42. Revolutionary History of Niger: From Independence to 2023 Coup
  43. Revolutionary and Quasi-Revolutionary Events in Somalia (1960–2023)
  44. Traditional Clan-Tribal Structures and Modern Political System of Somalia
  45. Anti-aging as a Key Challenge for the Medicine of the Future
  46. Biotechnologies in Perspective: Major Breakthroughs, Development of Self-regulating Systems and Possible Social Confrontations
  47. Conclusion. Toward Cybernetic Society
  48. Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging
  49. Cybernetic Revolution and MANBRIC Technologies. When, How and Where Will the Forthcoming Breakthrough Start?
  50. Cybernetic Revolution and Self-managing Systems
  51. Demographic Transformations in the Historical Process
  52. Global Aging and Other Demographic Trends Within Cybernetic Production Principle
  53. Global Aging, Adaptation to It and Future Demographic Transformations
  54. Global Technological Transformations Since the Stone Age: Theory and History
  55. Introduction: Between Human and Post-human Revolutions, or What Future Awaits Us?
  56. Long-Term Dynamics of Technological Growth: Would it Lead Us to the Singularity?
  57. Medicine and the Cybernetic Revolution: On the Way to Control Over the Human Body
  58. Nanotechnologies, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence and Other MANBRIC Technologies in the Long-Term Development
  59. Quantitative Analysis of Factors of Terrorist Activities: A Systematic Review
  60. The Cybernetic Revolution, COVID-19 and the E-state
  61. Will Global Aging Change the Pace of Technological Progress and Create a New Consumption Model?
  62. BRICS+ and the architecture of the new world order
  63. Chiefdoms: Beyond Time
  64. The roots of the Turkish-Qatari-Ikhwani alliance and its activities in North Africa and the Middle East
  65. Demographic Transformations in the Light of Technological Development: Types of Demographic Reproduction in the Past and in the Future
  66. Social Evolution: Theoretical Aspects and General Outlines
  67. Arab Spring, Its Aftermath, and James Davies’ Inverted J-Curve
  68. Quantitative Analysis of Political Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization (A Systematic Review)
  69. Forthcoming youth bulge in Egypt: possible sociopolitical implications
  70. Революционные события XXI века: предварительный количественный анализ
  71. Aging of the Global Population as an Integral Problem of the Future
  72. Global Aging and our Futures
  73. Economic Origins of Revolutions: the Link between GDP and the Risk of Revolutionary Events
  74. Education and Revolutions: Why do Revolutionary Uprisings Take Violent or Nonviolent Forms?
  75. Revolutions and Democracy
  76. A Quantitative Analysis of Economic Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization: Results and Prospects
  77. Africa: The Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities
  78. Conclusion: Reconsidering the Limits – Suggestions (Come On!)
  79. Demography: Toward Optimization of Demographic Processes
  80. Future Political Change. Toward a more Efficient World Order
  81. Global Aging: An Integral Problem of the Future. How to Turn a Problem into a Development Driver?
  82. High-Income and Low-Income Countries. Toward a Common Goal at Different Speeds
  83. Introduction: Hoping for the Future
  84. Macrohistorical Approach
  85. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. An Overview
  86. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics: Africa’s Futures
  87. The Future Society and the Transition to It
  88. Demographic Factors as Predictors of Revolutionary Situations: Experience in Quantitative Analysis
  89. A Troubled Return to the Homeland: Syrian Circassians in Southern Russia
  90. Students and protests: A quantitative cross-national analysis
  91. Machine Learning for Ranking Factors of Global and Regional Protest Destabilization with a Special Focus on Afrasian Instability Macrozone
  92. Urbanization and Revolutions: a Quantitative Analysis
  93. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  94. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  95. The long cycle perspective on the emerging bio age
  96. The Global Terrorist Threat in the Sahel and the Origins of Terrorism in Burkina Faso
  97. Explaining the rise of moralizing religions: a test of competing hypotheses using the Seshat Databank
  98. Big Gods and big science: further reflections on theory, data, and analysis
  99. Will capitalism die? Reflections on the Capitalism of the Past, Present and Future
  100. Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: A comprehensive test of hypotheses
  101. Developed and developing countries: towards the common target with different speeds
  102. Internet, Political Regime and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis
  103. 20th Century revolutions: characteristics, types, and waves
  104. Education and Revolutions (Why Do Some Revolutions Take up Arms while Others Do Not?)
  105. The Future of Revolutions in the 21st Century and the World System Reconfiguration
  106. The impact of values of men and women on their life expectancy
  107. Global Systems for Sociopolitical Instability Forecasting and Their Efficiency
  108. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  109. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  110. Urban Youth and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis (Are Youth Bulges Relevant Anymore?)
  111. COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations
  112. Cybernetic Revolution, Sixth Long Kondratiev Cycle, and Global Aging
  113. Estimates of the possible economic effect of the demographic dividend for sub-Saharan Africa for the period up to 2036
  114. Волны революций XXI столетия
  115. Political Regime Types and Revolutionary Destabilization Risks in the Twenty-First Century
  116. Urbanization, the Youth, and Protest: A Cross-National Analysis
  117. Charting the evolution of key military technologies over thousands of years
  118. Deprivation, instability, and propensity to attack: how urbanization influences terrorism
  119. Terrorism and Democracy
  120. Global Trends and Forecasts of the 21st Century
  121. Socio-Economic Development and Protests: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  122. Effect of the Arab Spring on Stabilization Capacity of the MENA Monarchies
  123. Доля молодежи в общей численности взрослого населения как фактор интенсивности ненасильственных протестов: опыт количественного анализа
  124. Formal Education and Contentious Politics: The Case of Violent and Non-Violent Protest
  125. Mathematical Model of Interaction between Civilization Center and Tribal Periphery: A Description
  126. Second Wave of the Libyan Civil War: Factors and Actors
  127. Some Sociodemographic Factors of the Intensity of Anti-Government Demonstrations: Youth Bulges, Urbanization, and Protests
  128. Universal Impact of Formal Education on Value Attitudes in Cross-Regional Perspective
  129. Socio-economic Development and Anti-government Protests in Light of a New Quantitative Analysis of Global Databases
  130. Evolution of stability of socioeconomic system functioning: Some approaches to modeling (with an application to the case of Egypt, 2011–2013)
  131. Non-Beverage Alcohol Consumption In Izhevsk: 15 Years Later
  132. Image of Russia in Afghanistan 30 Years after the Soviet Union Collapse
  133. Seven Weaknesses of the U.S., Donald Trump, and the Future of American Hegemony
  134. The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment
  135. Russia’s Policy towards the Middle East: The Case of Yemen
  136. A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century
  137. Evolution of Sociopolitical Institutions in North-East Yemen (The 1st Millennium BCE–The 2nd Millennium CE)
  138. Internet and Terrorist Activity in Countries with Different Political Regimes (Quantitative Analysis)
  139. The Effectiveness of Global Systems for Monitoring Sociopolitical Instability: A Systematic Analysis
  140. Relative Deprivation as a Factor of Sociopolitical Destabilization: Toward a Quantitative Comparative Analysis of the Arab Spring Events
  141. Variation of Human Values and Modernization: Preliminary Results
  142. Immanuel Maurice Wallerstein (1930–2019)
  143. Religiosity and Aging: Age and Cohort Effects and Their Implications for the Future of Religious Values in High‐Income OECD Countries
  144. Economic Growth, Education, and Terrorism: A Re-Analysis
  145. Contemporary Islamism: an analysis of its functions and features
  146. Echo of the Arab Spring in Eastern Europe: A Quantitative Analysis
  147. Value orientations of the Afrasian zone of instability: gender dimensions
  148. Democracy and Terrorism: A Re-analysis
  149. Human Values and Modernization: A Global Analysis
  150. Политические аспекты современного исламизма
  151. Относительная депривация как фактор социально-политической дестабилизации: опыт количественного анализа
  152. A Big History of Globalization
  153. How Syrian Conflict and Its Migration Crisis Echoed in the Southern Regions of Russia (On the Example of Karachay-Cherkessia)
  154. Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy
  155. Great Divergence of the 18th Century?
  156. A Wave of Global Sociopolitical Destabilization of the 2010s: A Quantitative Analysis
  157. Arab Spring, Revolutions, and the Democratic Values
  158. Background
  159. Between the Arab Spring and the Support for Terrorism
  160. General Conclusion to the Monograph. Mena Region and Global Transformations. Arab Spring and the Beginning of the World System Reconfiguration
  161. Introduction. Why Arab Spring Became Arab Winter
  162. Islamism and Its Role in Modern Islamic Societies
  163. Islamism, Arab Spring and the Future of Democracy
  164. Methods and Data for the Analysis
  165. Perturbations in the Arab World During the Arab Spring: A General Analysis
  166. Radical Islamism and Islamist Terrorism
  167. The Middle East in the World System Context in Comparison with India and China: Some Backgrounds of Islamism in the MENA Region
  168. The Solitude of the West in the Fight against Terror
  169. Distilled Spirits Overconsumption as the Most Important Factor of Excessive Adult Male Mortality in Europe
  170. Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Re-Analysis
  171. Reply to Tosh et al.: Quantitative analyses of cultural evolution require engagement with historical and archaeological research
  172. Contemporary Trends in Russia’s Fertility Rate and the Impact of State Support Measures
  173. Oil prices, socio-political destabilization risks, and future energy technologies
  174. METAMORPHOSES OF INTRA-SYRIA NEGOTIATION PROCESS
  175. Economic development, education, and terrorism: A quantitative analysis
  176. Forthcoming changes in world population distribution and global connectivity: implications for global foresight
  177. Unemployment as a Predictor of Socio-Political Destabilization in Western and Eastern Europe
  178. К СИСТЕМНОМУ АНАЛИЗУ КОЛИЧЕСТВЕННЫХ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ РАЗВИТИЯ ОБРАЗОВАТЕЛЬНЫХ СИСТЕМ АРАБСКИХ СТРАН, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  179. Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability in the United Kingdom after 1960: A Demographic Structural Analysis
  180. Chiefdoms:
  181. Chiefdoms from the Beginning Until Now
  182. Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
  183. “Neighbors in values”: A new dataset of cultural distances between countries based on individuals’ values, and its application to the study of global trade
  184. The future of the global economy in the light of inflationary and deflationary trends and long cycles theory
  185. Волна глобальной социально-политической дестабилизации 2011-2015 гг.: количественный анализ
  186. Akamatsu Waves
  187. GDP Per Capita and Protest Activity: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  188. Transition to a new global paradigm of development and the role of the united nations in this process
  189. Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?
  190. Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing
  191. Toward Forecasting Global Economic Dynamics of the Forthcoming Years
  192. Circumscription Theory of the Origins of the State: A Cross-Cultural Re-Analysis
  193. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends
  194. World Order Transformation and Sociopolitical Destabilization
  195. Spring and Its Global Echo: Quantitative Analysis
  196. Экономический рост и социально-политическая дестабилизация: опыт глобального анализа
  197. Economic Development, Sociopolitical Destabilization and Inequality
  198. Olson—Huntington Hypothesis on a Bell-Shaped Relationship Between the Level of Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis
  199. The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution
  200. ВЕЛИКАЯ ДИВЕРГЕНЦИЯ XVIII ВЕКА?, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  201. Romantic Love and Family Organization
  202. Regime Type and Political Destabilization in Cross-National Perspective: A Re-Analysis
  203. Arab Spring as a Global Phase Transition Trigger
  204. Explaining Current Fertility Dynamics in Tropical Africa From an Anthropological Perspective
  205. Alcohol Control Policies and Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia: Reply to Razvodovsky and Nemtsov
  206. Scenario Demographic Forecasts for the Bric Countries (((((((((( )
  207. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery
  208. GDP PER CAPITA, PROTEST INTENSITY AND REGIME TYPE: A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
  209. Afterword: New Kondratieff Wave and Forthcoming Global Social Transformation
  210. From Kondratieff Cycles to Akamatsu Waves? A New Center-Periphery Perspective on Long Cycles
  211. Interaction between Kondratieff Waves and Juglar Cycles
  212. Introduction. Cyclical and World-Systemic Aspects of Economic Reality with Respect to Contemporary Crisis
  213. Kondratieff Waves and Technological Revolutions
  214. Kondratieff Waves in the World System Perspective
  215. Our Place in the Universe: An Introduction to Big History ed. by Barry Rodrigue, Leonid Grinin, and Andrey Korotayev
  216. MENA Region and the Possible Beginning of World System Reconfiguration
  217. Intermediate Types of Political Regimes and Socio-Political Instability (Quantitative Cross-National Analysis)
  218. Egyptian coup of 2013: an ‘econometric’ analysis
  219. East Africa in the Malthusian Trap?
  220. Center-Periphery Dissonance as a Possible Factor of the Revolutionary Wave of 2013-2014
  221. Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses
  222. Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  223. Will the explosive growth of China continue?
  224. Effects of Specific Alcohol Control Policy Measures on Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013
  225. Political Geography of Modern Egypt
  226. Corrigendum
  227. : (Political Demography of the World Economy: Tropical Africa)
  228. . (Political Demography of Russia. Politics and State Government)
  229. Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  230. Afterword: The Great Convergence and Possible Increase in Global Instability, or the World Without an Absolute Leader
  231. Great Convergence and the Rise of the Rest
  232. Great Divergence and the Rise of the West
  233. Introduction. And Yet the Twain Meet: Great Convergence Brings the East Closer to the West
  234. The Great Convergence and Globalization: How Former Colonies Became the World Economic Locomotives
  235. Ukrainian Mosaic (An Attempt at Quantitative Analysis of Ukrainian Electoral Statistics)
  236. Globalization Shuffles Cards of the World Pack: In Which Direction is the Global Economic-Political Balance Shifting?
  237. The Importance of Gossip Across Societies
  238. What does global migration network say about recent changes in the world system structure?
  239. On the structure of the present-day convergence
  240. Female Labor Force Participation Rate, Islam, and Arab Culture in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  241. Revolution vs. Democracy (revolution and conterrevolution in Egypt)
  242. The Arab Spring: A Quantitative Analysis
  243. Explosive Population Growth in Tropical Africa: Crucial Omission in Development Forecasts—Emerging Risks and Way Out
  244. Global Population Dynamics Drive the Phases of the Great Divergence and Convergence
  245. Measuring globalization
  246. Economic Dynamics of the United States in 1990—2011: Keynesian Analysis
  247. Urbanization Dynamics in Egypt: Factors, Trends, Perspectives
  248. The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society
  249. Does “Arab Spring” Mean The Beginning Of World System Reconfiguration?
  250. On the dynamics of the world demographic transition and financial-economic crises forecasts
  251. The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Scenarios of the Near Future
  252. Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900–2008)
  253. Huge rise in gold and oil prices as a precursor of a global financial and economic crisis
  254. Cross-Cultural Analysis of Models of Romantic Love Among U.S. Residents, Russians, and Lithuanians
  255. Biological and Social Phases of Big History: Similarities and Differences of Evolutionary Principles and Mechanisms
  256. Relationship between genome size and organismal complexity in the lineage leading from prokaryotes to mammals
  257. Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions
  258. Book review: Akop P. Nazaretyan, Anthropology of violence and culture of self-organization. Essays in evolutionary historical psychology, 2nd edition, Moscow, URSS, 2008, 256 pages (in Russian)
  259. Potential for Alcohol Policy to Decrease the Mortality Crisis in Russia
  260. Globalization as Evolutionary Process
  261. Phanerozoic marine biodiversity follows a hyperbolic trend
  262. Wife–Husband Intimacy and Female Status in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  263. Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered
  264. Ethnographic Atlas XXXI: Peoples of Easternmost Europe
  265. A Cross-Cultural Investigation of the Role of Foot Size in Physical Attractiveness
  266. Valuing thinness or fatness in women
  267. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution
  268. Community, Identity and the State
  269. Ethnographic Atlas XXX: Peoples of Siberia
  270. Civilisational Models of Politogenesis ed. by Dmitri M. Bondarenko, Andrey V. Korotayev
  271. Division of Labor by Gender and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  272. Evolutionary Implications of Cross-Cultural Correlations
  273. "Galton's Asset" and "Flower's Problem Cultural Networks and Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research Ml (Or, Male Genital Mutilations and Polygyny in Cross-Cultural Perspective)
  274. Form of Marriage, Sexual Division of Labor, and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  275. “Early State” in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Statistical Reanalysis of Henri J. M. Claessen’s Database
  276. Factors of Sexual Freedom Among Foragers in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  277. Monopolization of Information and Female Status: A Cross-Cultural Test
  278. Status of Women, Female Contribution to Subsistence, and Monopolization of Information: Further Cross-Cultural Comparisons
  279. Unilineal Descent Organization and Deep Christianization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  280. Origins and evolution of chiefdoms
  281. Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration (or Apologia for Diffusionism)
  282. Polygyny and Democracy: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  283. Family Size and Community Organization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  284. Parallel-Cousin (FBD) Marriage, Islamization, and Arabization
  285. Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research
  286. Sexual Equality and Romantic Love: A Reanalysis of Rosenblatt’s Study on the Function of Romantic Love
  287. The earliest Sabaeans in the Jawf: A reconsideration
  288. Aramaeans in a Late Sabaic Inscription
  289. Inventaire des inscriptions sudarabiques. Tome I. Inabba’, Haram, Al-Kāfir, Kamna Et Al-Ḥarāshif. Fascicule A. Les Documents. Fascicule B. Les Planches. By Christian Robin, pp. 221, 60 pi. Paris, Académie des Inscriptions et Belles-Lettres; Rome, Istit...
  290. Apologia for ‘the Sabaean cultural-political area’
  291. Internal structure of Middle Sabaean bayt
  292. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  293. MIDDLE SABAIC BN Z: CLAN GROUP, OR HEAD OF CLAN?
  294. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  295. Mathematical models of world-system development
  296. The Afroeurasian world-system
  297. SASci 2007 Annual Meeting Panel Proposal: Sociocultural and Political Evolution: patterns, trends, mechanisms, and mathematical models